In view of the increasing pace of infection of the corona virus, all the countries of the world were forced to lockdown despite not wanting. After the end of the 21-day lockdown in India, it has been extended till May 3. With this, the rules of social distancing have been made even more strict. Many countries hope that with lockdown and social distancing, they will come out of this difficulty within a few months.
However, scientists have cautioned that social distancing may have to be resorted to by 2022 to prevent corona virus infection. In the new study, researchers have said that in the coming years, the corona virus can cause havoc again.
Research published in the journal Science has said that it is difficult to control the epidemic by doing lockdown only once. Without prevention measures, the second wave of corona virus can be more frightening.
Mark Lipsich, an epidemiologist and study author at Harvard University, said the infection spreads when two things happen – one an infected person and the other a weak immune. Until the immunity against the virus is developed in most of the population of the world, then there will be a possibility of large population being vulnerable to it.
If the vaccine or cure is not found in 2025, the corona virus can again take the whole world into its fold. Epidemiologist Mark says that given the current state of infection with the corona virus, it is not right to predict the end of the epidemic by the summer of 2020.
The Scientific Advisory Committee of the UK Government suggested that physical distancing needs to be maintained for a long time to prevent increasing burden on patients. The committee said that the government should continue the rules of social distancing for some years in the country with strictness and sometimes with some relaxation.
According to research, physical distancing will no longer be mandatory in the event of new treatments, vaccine introduction and improved health facilities, but in the absence of them, countries may have to implement surveillance and physical distancing by 2022.
Researchers said that many mysteries about the corona virus infection are not solved, so it is difficult to predict it accurately for a very long time. If people’s immunity becomes permanent then the corona virus will disappear for five years or more. If the immunity of the people persists for only one year, then like every other corona virus, this epidemic may return annually.
Researcher Lipsich said, there is a high probability that the world will get partial security for about a year. While it may take several years to achieve complete protection against viruses. At the moment, we can only speculate. In all circumstances, it is certain that a one-time lockdown will not be enough to eliminate the corona. Once the restrictions are removed, the corona virus infection will spread again.
Scientists around the world say that it is difficult to completely get rid of the corona virus until the vaccine is not made. Dr. Anthony Fauchi, a member of the US Corona Virus Task Force has also said that it will not be so easy for the world to eliminate the corona virus from the root.
World Health Organization Special Ambassador David Nabarro has said that the corona virus will continue to chase mankind for a long time. Until people are able to protect themselves from the vaccine, the corona virus outbreak will continue.
Dr. Siman Clarke, Professor of Cellular Microbiology at the University of Reading, said in an interview with The Independent that it is impossible to tell the date of the endgame of the corona virus. He said, if someone is telling you the date of the end of the corona virus, then it means that they are making a prediction by seeing the crystal ball. The truth is that the corona virus has spread and now it is going to stay with us forever.
Michael Head, researcher at Global Health at Southampton University, says that it is difficult to make any assumptions about the corona virus. This is a completely new virus and has taken the form of epidemic worldwide. He said that in the coming few months, cases of corona virus infection may decline. However, as soon as winter comes, the corona virus cases can increase again because at that time the flu will also knock.
According to Professor Neil Farguson of Imperial College London, steps such as social distancing are very important for the slow pace of infection. Until the vaccine arrives, the need for large-scale social distancing will remain. It has been estimated in a college report that it may take about 18 months to become a corona virus vaccine.